10-year holds at 5.28%
The 10-year Treasury closed Friday at 5.28% and the 2-year at 4.83%. The 10-year's highest close this year is 5.29%, on Sept. 30.
3 things to know
Payrolls rose 29,000 in September
The unemployment rate was 4.2%. July was revised to -10,000 and August to +133,000.
Trade data Tuesday, Fed minutes Wednesday
Census and BEA publish the August trade report on Oct. 6. The Fed releases minutes of its Sept. 15–16 meeting on Oct. 7.
Bottom line
Fed funds (EFFR) stood at 3.88% and SOFR at 3.88% as of Oct. 2, with the 10-year Treasury at 5.28%.
This week brings the August trade report on Oct. 6, wholesale trade on Oct. 8 and the Fed minutes on Oct. 7. September CPI follows on Oct. 14.
Rates, the dollar and the Fed
10-year Treasury
5.28%
▲ +4 bp · 1 month ▲ +49 bp
Since Jul 2 · as of Oct 2
2-year Treasury
4.83%
▲ +5 bp · 1 month ▲ +44 bp
Since Jul 2 · as of Oct 2
Dollar index (broad)
120.33
▼ −0.18% · 1 month ▲ +1.59%
Since Jun 25 · as of Sep 25
Fed funds (EFFR)
3.88%
0 bp · 1 month ▲ +25 bp
Since Jul 2 · as of Oct 2
Scoreboard
| Measure | Latest | As of | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | Since Dec 31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-month T-bill | 4.19% | Oct 2 | ▲ +2 bp | ▼ −5 bp | ▲ +27 bp | ▲ +52 bp |
| 2-year | 4.83% | Oct 2 | ▲ +5 bp | ▲ +2 bp | ▲ +44 bp | ▲ +136 bp |
| 5-year | 5.06% | Oct 2 | ▲ +5 bp | ▲ +8 bp | ▲ +52 bp | ▲ +133 bp |
| 10-year | 5.28% | Oct 2 | ▲ +4 bp | ▲ +11 bp | ▲ +49 bp | ▲ +110 bp |
| 30-year | 5.63% | Oct 2 | ▲ +2 bp | ▲ +14 bp | ▲ +36 bp | ▲ +79 bp |
| 10y–2y spread | 45 bp | Oct 2 | ▼ −1 bp | ▲ +9 bp | ▲ +5 bp | ▼ −26 bp |
| Fed funds (EFFR) | 3.88% | Oct 2 | 0 bp | 0 bp | ▲ +25 bp | ▲ +24 bp |
| SOFR | 3.88% | Oct 2 | ▲ +1 bp | ▼ −2 bp | ▲ +23 bp | ▲ +1 bp |
| Dollar index (broad) | 120.33 | Sep 25 | ▼ −0.18% | ▲ +0.68% | ▲ +1.59% | ▲ +0.49% |
Rates in percent; changes in basis points (bp; 100 bp = 1 percentage point). Dollar index changes in percent. Shading shows the size of each move, darker for larger moves; arrows show the direction.
Sources: U.S. Treasury yields; Federal Reserve Board H.10 nominal broad dollar index (weekly release, via FRED); Federal Reserve Bank of New York EFFR and SOFR.
Treasury yields
10-year and 2-year yields, since Jul 2
10-year2-year
Yield curve: Oct 2 vs Jul 2
Oct 2Jul 2
Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve Rates, official closes through Oct 2. Public domain.
SEC filings, Oct 3 – Oct 5
Company events and registrations
- 8-KVST Vistra: material agreement, item 2.03Mon, Oct 5 ›
Insider filings (Forms 3, 4 and 144)
Form 4 reports an insider's trade; Form 144 is notice of a planned sale; Form 3 is a new insider's first holdings report.
Source: SEC EDGAR, tracked companies only. Public domain.
Tracked companies
| Ticker | Name | News | Next event | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | Alcoa | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| AB | AllianceBernstein | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| AI | C3.ai | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| AMRN | Amarin | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| AMZN | Amazon | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| B | Barrick Mining | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| BABA | Alibaba | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| BNDX | Vanguard Total Intl Bond ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| BTZ | BlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| DDOG | Datadog | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| DG | Dollar General | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| ESTC | Elastic | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| FICO | Fair Isaac | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| FLR | Fluor | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| HON | Honeywell | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| IBM | IBM | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| INTC | Intel | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| META | Meta Platforms | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| PATH | UiPath | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| PEGA | Pegasystems | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| SPCX | SpaceX | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| SVC | Service Properties Trust | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| TEM | Tempus AI | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| TSLA | Tesla | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VOO | Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VST | Vistra | Extended its revolving credit maturity to Sept. 29, 2027 (8-K, Oct. 5). | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VT | Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VXUS | Vanguard Total Intl Stock ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| XTND | Xtend AI Robotics | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
News from company releases and SEC filings. "Quote" opens the ticker on Nasdaq.com; "Filings" opens it on SEC EDGAR.
Top stories
September employment report
BLS reported payrolls up 29,000 and unemployment at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings rose 3.0% from a year earlier.
Source: BLS Employment Situation ›
Vistra extends its revolving credit maturity
Vistra Operations filed an 8-K on Oct. 5 about a credit agreement amendment signed Sept. 30. It moves the revolver's maturity date from Sept. 30, 2026 to Sept. 29, 2027.
Source: SEC EDGAR: Vistra 8-K ›
Treasury says Trump Accounts enrollment is complete
Treasury said on Oct. 1 that automatic enrollment is done, making accounts available for over 60 million eligible children.
Source: Treasury press release ›
FOMC calendar lists Oct. 7 minutes release
The Fed's 2026 calendar shows minutes of the Sept. 15–16 meeting due Oct. 7. The next meeting is Oct. 27–28.
Source: Federal Reserve FOMC calendars ›
August trade report due Oct. 6
Census's indicator calendar lists the U.S. international trade in goods and services report for 8:30 AM ET on Oct. 6.
Economic calendar
| Tue, Oct 6, 8:30 AM ET | Census and BEA: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, August |
| Wed, Oct 7 | Fed: Minutes of the Sept. 15–16 FOMC meeting |
| Thu, Oct 8, 10:00 AM ET | Census: Monthly Wholesale Trade, August |
| Wed, Oct 14, 8:30 AM ET | BLS: Consumer Price Index, September |
| Wed, Oct 14, 10:00 AM ET | Census: Business Formation Statistics, September |
| Thu, Oct 15, 8:30 AM ET | BLS: Producer Price Index, September |
| Thu, Oct 15, 8:30 AM ET | Census: Advance Monthly Retail Sales, September |
| Thu, Oct 15, 10:00 AM ET | Census: Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales, August |
| Fri, Oct 16, 8:30 AM ET | BLS: Import and Export Price Indexes, September |
Times in Eastern Time (ET).
Sources: BLS, Census, Federal Reserve calendars. Company dates are in Tracked companies.
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| Source | Used for | Terms |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve Rates | Yields: strip, cards, scoreboard and charts | Public domain |
| Federal Reserve Board, H.10 nominal broad U.S. dollar index (via FRED, series DTWEXBGS) | Broad dollar index (weekly release) | Public domain |
| Federal Reserve Bank of New York, reference rates (EFFR, SOFR) | Effective federal funds rate and SOFR | Free with notice |
| U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR | Filings panel and company filing links | Public domain |
| U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics | Jobs report and release calendar | Public domain |
| U.S. Census Bureau | Economic release calendar | Public domain |
| Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System | FOMC dates and Fed speakers | Public domain |
| Company press releases and filings | Company news | Issued for publication |
| News publisher (headline and link only; summary is our own) | Top stories: headline, link and our own summary only | Headline + link |
Each figure in the daily data file records its source, as-of date and retrieval time. Provider terms were last reviewed Saturday, October 3, 2026 and are re-checked every 90 days. Not used: third-party market widgets, stock price feeds, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, brokerage APIs, free news APIs, or full article text.