Yottabyte Services Markets

Friday, October 16, 2026

Morning Market Brief

Jobs, Treasury yields, the dollar and Fed rates from official sources, plus the day's SEC filings and company news. Compiled before the open.

US market hours: 9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET Brief for Oct 16

Compiled Fri, Oct 16, 9:06 AM ET · Times in Eastern Time (ET)

3-mo T-bill4.28%0 bp
2-yr Treasury4.77%▼ −5 bp
10-yr Treasury5.10%▼ −9 bp
30-yr Treasury5.43%▼ −9 bp
Fed funds3.88%0 bp
SOFR3.89%▲ +1 bp
Dollar index121.60▲ +0.13%

3 things to know

01 · Inflation

September import prices rose 1.1%

BLS reported import prices rose 1.1% in September after a 0.5% rise in August. Export prices rose 2.2% after 1.2% in August.

02 · Rates

10-year at 5.10%

The 10-year Treasury closed Thursday at 5.10%, the 2-year at 4.77% and the 30-year at 5.43%.

03 · Data

September retail sales up 0.8%

Census estimated advance September retail and food services sales at about $745.0 billion, up 0.8% from August and 6.3% from a year earlier. Housing starts follow on Oct. 20.

Bottom line

Fed funds (EFFR) stood at 3.88% as of Oct. 14 and SOFR at 3.89% as of Oct. 15, with the 10-year Treasury at 5.10%.

BLS lists the September import and export price indexes today at 8:30 a.m. ET. The Fed’s next meeting is Oct. 27–28.

Rates, the dollar and the Fed

10-year Treasury
5.10%
▼ −9 bp · 1 month ▲ +10 bp
Since Jul 15 · as of Oct 15
2-year Treasury
4.77%
▼ −5 bp · 1 month ▲ +10 bp
Since Jul 15 · as of Oct 15
Dollar index (broad)
121.60
▲ +0.13% · 1 month ▲ +3.15%
Since Jul 9 · as of Oct 9
Fed funds (EFFR)
3.88%
0 bp · 1 month ▲ +25 bp
Since Jul 15 · as of Oct 15

Scoreboard

MeasureLatestAs of1 day1 week1 monthSince Dec 31
3-month T-bill4.28%Oct 150 bp▲ +5 bp▲ +17 bp▲ +61 bp
2-year4.77%Oct 15▼ −5 bp▲ +2 bp▲ +10 bp▲ +130 bp
5-year4.91%Oct 15▼ −9 bp▼ −8 bp▲ +8 bp▲ +118 bp
10-year5.10%Oct 15▼ −9 bp▼ −12 bp▲ +10 bp▲ +92 bp
30-year5.43%Oct 15▼ −9 bp▼ −17 bp▲ +7 bp▲ +59 bp
10y–2y spread33 bpOct 15▼ −4 bp▼ −14 bp0 bp▼ −38 bp
Fed funds (EFFR)3.88%Oct 150 bp0 bp▲ +25 bp▲ +24 bp
SOFR3.89%Oct 15▲ +1 bp▲ +2 bp▲ +25 bp▲ +2 bp
Dollar index (broad)121.60Oct 9▲ +0.13%▲ +0.18%▲ +3.15%▲ +1.55%

Rates in percent; changes in basis points (bp; 100 bp = 1 percentage point). Dollar index changes in percent. Shading shows the size of each move, darker for larger moves; arrows show the direction.

Sources: U.S. Treasury yields; Federal Reserve Board H.10 nominal broad dollar index (weekly release, via FRED); Federal Reserve Bank of New York EFFR and SOFR.

Treasury yields

10-year and 2-year yields, since Jul 15

4.00%4.38%4.75%5.13%5.50%Jul 15Aug 3Sep 1Oct 15.10%
10-year2-year

Yield curve: Oct 15 vs Jul 15

3.50%4.00%4.50%5.00%5.50%1M3M6M1Y2Y3Y5Y7Y10Y20Y30Y5.43%
Oct 15Jul 15

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve Rates, official closes through Oct 15. Public domain.

SEC filings, Oct 14 – Oct 16

Company events and registrations

Insider filings (Forms 3, 4 and 144)

Form 4 reports an insider's trade; Form 144 is notice of a planned sale; Form 3 is a new insider's first holdings report.

Source: SEC EDGAR, tracked companies only. Public domain.

Tracked companies

TickerNameNewsNext eventLinks
AAAlcoaNo notable news.—
ABAllianceBernsteinNo notable news.—
AIC3.aiNo notable news.—
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesNo notable news.—
AMRNAmarinNo notable news.—
AMZNAmazonNo notable news.—
BBarrick MiningNo notable news.—
BABAAlibabaNo notable news.—
BNDXVanguard Total Intl Bond ETFNo notable news.—
BTZBlackRock Credit Allocation Income TrustNo notable news.—
DDOGDatadogNo notable news.—
DGDollar GeneralNo notable news.—
ESTCElasticNo notable news.—
FICOFair IsaacNo notable news.—
FLRFluorNo notable news.—
HONHoneywellNo notable news.—
IBMIBMNo notable news.—
INTCIntelNo notable news.—
METAMeta PlatformsNo notable news.—
NVDANVIDIANo notable news.—
PANWPalo Alto NetworksNo notable news.—
PATHUiPathNo notable news.—
PEGAPegasystemsNo notable news.—
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesNo notable news.—
SPCXSpaceXNo notable news.—
SVCService Properties TrustNo notable news.—
TEMTempus AINo notable news.—
TSLATeslaNo notable news.—
VOOVanguard S&P 500 ETFNo notable news.—
VSTVistraNo notable news.—
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETFNo notable news.—
VTIVanguard Total Stock Market ETFNo notable news.—
VXUSVanguard Total Intl Stock ETFNo notable news.—
XTNDXtend AI RoboticsNo notable news.—

News from company releases and SEC filings. "Quote" opens the ticker on Nasdaq.com; "Filings" opens it on SEC EDGAR.

Top stories

Inflation

September import and export prices both higher

BLS said import prices rose 1.1% and export prices 2.2% in September. Both followed increases in August.

Source: BLS Import and Export Price Indexes ›

Data

Census: advance September retail sales

Census put advance retail and food services sales at about $745.0 billion, up 0.8% from August. The estimate is not adjusted for prices.

Source: Census Retail Sales ›

Regulation

SEC advisory committee to discuss IPO modernization

The SEC announced on Oct. 14 that its Small Business Advisory Committee will discuss IPO modernization and Regulation Crowdfunding.

Source: SEC press release 2026-105 ›

Data

BLS calendar: employment cost index Oct. 30

BLS lists state employment data on Oct. 20 and the third-quarter Employment Cost Index on Oct. 30.

Source: BLS release schedule ›

Economic calendar

Fri, Oct 16, 8:30 AM ETBLS: U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for September
Tue, Oct 20, 8:30 AM ETCensus: New Residential Construction for September
Tue, Oct 20, 10:00 AM ETBLS: State Employment and Unemployment for September
Wed, Oct 21, 10:00 AM ETBLS: Usual Weekly Earnings, third quarter
Tue, Oct 27, 8:30 AM ETCensus: Advance Durable Goods Report for September
Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 AM ETCensus: New Residential Sales for September
Tue, Oct 27 – Wed, Oct 28Fed: FOMC meeting
Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 AM ETCensus: Advance Economic Indicators Report for September
Wed, Oct 28, 10:00 AM ETCensus: Housing Vacancies and Homeownership, third quarter
Fri, Oct 30, 8:30 AM ETBLS: Employment Cost Index for third quarter

Times in Eastern Time (ET).

Sources: BLS, Census, Federal Reserve calendars. Company dates are in Tracked companies.

How this brief is built

  1. CollectEach weekday before the open, an automated workflow pulls official data (Treasury, Federal Reserve, NY Fed, BLS, Census), SEC filings and company releases, and records the source and time of every figure.
  2. CheckAny figure without a source or an approved license blocks publishing, as does missing, stale or malformed data.
  3. ReviewAutomated. Each brief is written by an AI workflow from official sources and must pass automated source and accuracy checks before it publishes.
  4. PublishThe page and the morning email go out from the same data, so they always match.

Yottabyte Services builds workflows like this one for operators: one process, clear rules, a person for exceptions, and a log leadership can follow.

Book a 20-minute review See how we work ›

Sources and methodology

SourceUsed forTerms
U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve RatesYields: strip, cards, scoreboard and chartsPublic domain
Federal Reserve Board, H.10 nominal broad U.S. dollar index (via FRED, series DTWEXBGS)Broad dollar index (weekly release)Public domain
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, reference rates (EFFR, SOFR)Effective federal funds rate and SOFRFree with notice
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGARFilings panel and company filing linksPublic domain
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsJobs report and release calendarPublic domain
U.S. Census BureauEconomic release calendarPublic domain
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemFOMC dates and Fed speakersPublic domain
Company press releases and filingsCompany newsIssued for publication
News publisher (headline and link only; summary is our own)Top stories: headline, link and our own summary onlyHeadline + link

Each figure in the daily data file records its source, as-of date and retrieval time. Provider terms were last reviewed Saturday, October 3, 2026 and are re-checked every 90 days. Not used: third-party market widgets, stock price feeds, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, brokerage APIs, free news APIs, or full article text.