Yottabyte Services Markets

Thursday, October 15, 2026

Morning Market Brief

Jobs, Treasury yields, the dollar and Fed rates from official sources, plus the day's SEC filings and company news. Compiled before the open.

US market hours: 9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET Brief for Oct 15

Compiled Thu, Oct 15, 9:06 AM ET · Times in Eastern Time (ET)

3-mo T-bill4.28%▲ +2 bp
2-yr Treasury4.82%▲ +3 bp
10-yr Treasury5.19%▼ −2 bp
30-yr Treasury5.52%▼ −4 bp
Fed funds3.88%0 bp
SOFR3.88%▼ −1 bp
Dollar index121.60▲ +0.13%

3 things to know

01 · Inflation

September PPI: largest monthly rise since March 2022

BLS reported the final demand Producer Price Index rose 1.3% in September and 6.3% over the 12 months ended in September. Final demand goods rose 2.6% and services 0.8%.

02 · Rates

10-year at 5.19%

The 10-year Treasury closed Wednesday at 5.19% and the 2-year at 4.82%. The 30-year was 5.52%.

03 · Data

Retail sales due at 8:30 a.m. ET

The Census Bureau lists advance September retail and food services sales for today, Oct. 15, alongside business inventories and sales at 10:00 a.m. Housing starts follow on Oct. 20.

Bottom line

Fed funds (EFFR) stood at 3.88% as of Oct. 13 and SOFR at 3.88% as of Oct. 14, with the 10-year Treasury at 5.19%.

BLS reports final demand less foods, energy and trade rose 0.5% in September and 5.0% over 12 months. The Fed's next meeting is Oct. 27–28.

Rates, the dollar and the Fed

10-year Treasury
5.19%
▼ −2 bp · 1 month ▲ +22 bp
Since Jul 14 · as of Oct 14
2-year Treasury
4.82%
▲ +3 bp · 1 month ▲ +17 bp
Since Jul 14 · as of Oct 14
Dollar index (broad)
121.60
▲ +0.13% · 1 month ▲ +3.15%
Since Jul 9 · as of Oct 9
Fed funds (EFFR)
3.88%
0 bp · 1 month ▲ +25 bp
Since Jul 14 · as of Oct 14

Scoreboard

MeasureLatestAs of1 day1 week1 monthSince Dec 31
3-month T-bill4.28%Oct 14▲ +2 bp▲ +6 bp▲ +17 bp▲ +61 bp
2-year4.82%Oct 14▲ +3 bp▲ +5 bp▲ +17 bp▲ +135 bp
5-year5.00%Oct 140 bp▼ −3 bp▲ +20 bp▲ +127 bp
10-year5.19%Oct 14▼ −2 bp▼ −9 bp▲ +22 bp▲ +101 bp
30-year5.52%Oct 14▼ −4 bp▼ −15 bp▲ +18 bp▲ +68 bp
10y–2y spread37 bpOct 14▼ −5 bp▼ −14 bp▲ +5 bp▼ −34 bp
Fed funds (EFFR)3.88%Oct 140 bp0 bp▲ +25 bp▲ +24 bp
SOFR3.88%Oct 14▼ −1 bp0 bp▲ +26 bp▲ +1 bp
Dollar index (broad)121.60Oct 9▲ +0.13%▲ +0.18%▲ +3.15%▲ +1.55%

Rates in percent; changes in basis points (bp; 100 bp = 1 percentage point). Dollar index changes in percent. Shading shows the size of each move, darker for larger moves; arrows show the direction.

Sources: U.S. Treasury yields; Federal Reserve Board H.10 nominal broad dollar index (weekly release, via FRED); Federal Reserve Bank of New York EFFR and SOFR.

Treasury yields

10-year and 2-year yields, since Jul 14

4.00%4.38%4.75%5.13%5.50%Jul 14Aug 3Sep 1Oct 15.19%
10-year2-year

Yield curve: Oct 14 vs Jul 14

3.50%4.06%4.63%5.19%5.75%1M3M6M1Y2Y3Y5Y7Y10Y20Y30Y5.52%
Oct 14Jul 14

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve Rates, official closes through Oct 14. Public domain.

SEC filings, Oct 13 – Oct 15

Company events and registrations

Insider filings (Forms 3, 4 and 144)

Form 4 reports an insider's trade; Form 144 is notice of a planned sale; Form 3 is a new insider's first holdings report.

Source: SEC EDGAR, tracked companies only. Public domain.

Tracked companies

TickerNameNewsNext eventLinks
AAAlcoaNo notable news.—
ABAllianceBernsteinFurnished an 8-K dated Oct. 13 attaching its Oct. 12 release on preliminary assets under management as of Sept. 30.—
AIC3.aiNo notable news.—
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesNo notable news.—
AMRNAmarinNo notable news.—
AMZNAmazonNo notable news.—
BBarrick MiningNo notable news.—
BABAAlibabaNo notable news.—
BNDXVanguard Total Intl Bond ETFNo notable news.—
BTZBlackRock Credit Allocation Income TrustNo notable news.—
DDOGDatadogNo notable news.—
DGDollar GeneralNo notable news.—
ESTCElasticNo notable news.—
FICOFair IsaacNo notable news.—
FLRFluorNo notable news.—
HONHoneywellNo notable news.—
IBMIBMNo notable news.—
INTCIntelNo notable news.—
METAMeta PlatformsNo notable news.—
NVDANVIDIANo notable news.—
PANWPalo Alto NetworksNo notable news.—
PATHUiPathNo notable news.—
PEGAPegasystemsNo notable news.—
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesNo notable news.—
SPCXSpaceXNo notable news.—
SVCService Properties TrustNo notable news.—
TEMTempus AINo notable news.—
TSLATeslaNo notable news.—
VOOVanguard S&P 500 ETFNo notable news.—
VSTVistraNo notable news.—
VTVanguard Total World Stock ETFNo notable news.—
VTIVanguard Total Stock Market ETFNo notable news.—
VXUSVanguard Total Intl Stock ETFNo notable news.—
XTNDXtend AI RoboticsNo notable news.—

News from company releases and SEC filings. "Quote" opens the ticker on Nasdaq.com; "Filings" opens it on SEC EDGAR.

Top stories

Inflation

September PPI: final demand up 1.3%

BLS said the monthly rise in final demand prices was the largest since March 2022. The October PPI is scheduled for Nov. 13.

Source: BLS Producer Price Index ›

Data

Census calendar: retail sales today, housing starts Oct. 20

Census lists advance retail and food services sales for September on Oct. 15 and new residential construction on Oct. 20. Durable goods orders are listed for Oct. 27.

Source: Census Economic Indicators Calendar ›

Fed

FOMC calendar: next meeting Oct. 27–28

The Fed lists the next meetings as Oct. 27–28 and Dec. 8–9. Minutes of the Sept. 15–16 meeting were released Oct. 7.

Source: Federal Reserve FOMC calendars ›

Regulation

SEC advisory committee to discuss IPO modernization

The SEC announced on Oct. 14 that its Small Business Advisory Committee will discuss IPO modernization and Regulation Crowdfunding.

Source: SEC press release 2026-105 ›

Regulation

SEC proposes wider cross trading for registered funds

The SEC announced a proposal on Oct. 9 to expand the types of securities registered funds may cross-trade.

Source: SEC press release 2026-104 ›

Economic calendar

Thu, Oct 15, 8:30 AM ETBLS: Producer Price Index for September
Thu, Oct 15, 8:30 AM ETCensus: Advance Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales for September
Thu, Oct 15, 10:00 AM ETCensus: Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales for August
Tue, Oct 20, 8:30 AM ETCensus: New Residential Construction for September
Tue, Oct 27, 8:30 AM ETCensus: Advance Durable Goods Report for September
Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 AM ETCensus: New Residential Sales for September
Tue, Oct 27 – Wed, Oct 28Fed: FOMC meeting
Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 AM ETCensus: Advance Economic Indicators Report for September

Times in Eastern Time (ET).

Sources: BLS, Census, Federal Reserve calendars. Company dates are in Tracked companies.

How this brief is built

  1. CollectEach weekday before the open, an automated workflow pulls official data (Treasury, Federal Reserve, NY Fed, BLS, Census), SEC filings and company releases, and records the source and time of every figure.
  2. CheckAny figure without a source or an approved license blocks publishing, as does missing, stale or malformed data.
  3. ReviewAutomated. Each brief is written by an AI workflow from official sources and must pass automated source and accuracy checks before it publishes.
  4. PublishThe page and the morning email go out from the same data, so they always match.

Yottabyte Services builds workflows like this one for operators: one process, clear rules, a person for exceptions, and a log leadership can follow.

Book a 20-minute review See how we work ›

Sources and methodology

SourceUsed forTerms
U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve RatesYields: strip, cards, scoreboard and chartsPublic domain
Federal Reserve Board, H.10 nominal broad U.S. dollar index (via FRED, series DTWEXBGS)Broad dollar index (weekly release)Public domain
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, reference rates (EFFR, SOFR)Effective federal funds rate and SOFRFree with notice
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGARFilings panel and company filing linksPublic domain
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsJobs report and release calendarPublic domain
U.S. Census BureauEconomic release calendarPublic domain
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemFOMC dates and Fed speakersPublic domain
Company press releases and filingsCompany newsIssued for publication
News publisher (headline and link only; summary is our own)Top stories: headline, link and our own summary onlyHeadline + link

Each figure in the daily data file records its source, as-of date and retrieval time. Provider terms were last reviewed Saturday, October 3, 2026 and are re-checked every 90 days. Not used: third-party market widgets, stock price feeds, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, brokerage APIs, free news APIs, or full article text.